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  #241  
Old 04-15-2019, 09:27 PM
kalarro kalarro is offline
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Originally Posted by malawiglenn View Post
You have to understand that there is a huge spread in statistical outcome and knowing what the law of large numbers tell you.

I mean I can give 1000 people a regular dice and make them roll it until they roll six eyes.

About 7 of them will still rolling after 40 rolls :P

Would they complain that the dice is not perfect?

Probably one of them will (i.e. you)
I love statistics and Im not complaining. Its just that since I hadnt even gotten one yet to confirm the drop location, and the chance of my case happening was 1.4% (if grimtools is right), I was wondering if I wasnt in the right place.
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  #242  
Old 04-15-2019, 09:27 PM
sir spanksalot sir spanksalot is offline
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Sure, Im not saying it should drop faster. but the 10% drop chance grimtools say doesnt look true. I could be unlucky sure, btu like you say you needed even more kills
You're falling prey to what's called the 'gambler's fallacy.'

Gonna quote wikipedia on this - 'The gambler's fallacy, also known as the Monte Carlo fallacy or the fallacy of the maturity of chances, is the mistaken belief that, if something happens more frequently than normal during a given period, it will happen less frequently in the future (or vice versa).'

It doesn't matter how many times it DIDN'T drop for you in the past. Each run is independent from every other run.
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I will wait a few weeks until I GD-stash.
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  #243  
Old 04-15-2019, 09:33 PM
kalarro kalarro is offline
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Ok, since both of you are asuming I have no idea about probability, ill drop the subject. I wasnt complaining, I was just wanting to confirm I was in the right place bc of the low chances of it happening.

Ofc I know that each kill has 10% chances no matter how many tries I already tried. But that still means that not getting a 10% drop chance in 40 tries has only 1,47% chances of happening.
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  #244  
Old 04-15-2019, 09:36 PM
sir spanksalot sir spanksalot is offline
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No...I'm not making that assumption. Apologies if I seem as dismissive. Was just offering an explanation.
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Stun resist is like a condom... No one actually wants it, but you're far safer using it.

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I will wait a few weeks until I GD-stash.
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  #245  
Old 04-16-2019, 08:29 AM
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malawiglenn malawiglenn is offline
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Here is a nice, longer, farming route http://www.grimdawn.com/forums/showt...942#post733942
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OOOOH HO HO. YOU DISGUSTING GDSTASHING RAT.
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  #246  
Old 04-20-2019, 05:11 AM
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malawiglenn malawiglenn is offline
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Here is an idea I do not think is covered

But open your one-shot chests!!! (they are one per char and difficulty)

Here you have checklist of them https://www.grimtools.com/checklist

They can drop legandaries, blueprints and rare crafting materials

Some of them are easy to find, some require smashing of hidden object or finding a hidden way.

Here is an example of what loot can pop out
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  #247  
Old 04-20-2019, 07:23 AM
sir spanksalot sir spanksalot is offline
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Better idea - save all one drop chests for when you hit lvl 94
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Stun resist is like a condom... No one actually wants it, but you're far safer using it.

Quote:
Can I talk to you about our lord and savior Jesus - Tycho
Quote:
Originally Posted by malawiglenn View Post
I will wait a few weeks until I GD-stash.
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  #248  
Old 04-20-2019, 08:23 AM
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malawiglenn malawiglenn is offline
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Originally Posted by sir spanksalot View Post
Better idea - save all one drop chests for when you hit lvl 94
yeah I forgot to mention that, one can go back in difficulty and pop them later.

No need of level 94, but 90ish is enough to get lvl 94 items
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OOOOH HO HO. YOU DISGUSTING GDSTASHING RAT.
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  #249  
Old 04-20-2019, 08:53 AM
sir spanksalot sir spanksalot is offline
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List of one shot chests have been added to the OP
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Stun resist is like a condom... No one actually wants it, but you're far safer using it.

Quote:
Can I talk to you about our lord and savior Jesus - Tycho
Quote:
Originally Posted by malawiglenn View Post
I will wait a few weeks until I GD-stash.
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